Oregon’s congressional incumbents pile up huge cash edge to start 2022
Published 12:00 pm Saturday, February 19, 2022
- Wyden
SALEM — Oregon’s congressional incumbents have piled up a crushing campaign cash advantage over potential challengers, according to recent federal records.
The one U.S. senator and five incumbent U.S. House members whose seats are up for election in 2022 began the year with a combined $13,895,939 in the bank, according to the Federal Elections Commission.
The bulging bankrolls are seen as a hedge against the political upheaval that led to control of the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House swinging from Republicans to Democrats, with a strong chance of Congress swinging back this year.
“Incumbency still matters but it doesn’t have the importance that it once did,” said Kyle Kondik, a lead analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. “A warchest can help deter challengers in both primaries and general elections.”
The 2022 outcome matters beyond the individual fates of one of 100 U.S. Senators and Oregon’s six seats in the 435-member U.S. House.
Republicans can take back the House by flipping just five Democratic seats. The Senate is split 50-50, with Democrats having official control because the U.S. Constitution makes Vice-President Kamala Harris the tiebreaker if needed, in her role as President of the Senate.
While candidates, especially challengers, will proclaim that elections will be decided on issues, the financial heft of incumbents give them a larger, louder megaphone to make their case. Even in races when there is little audible voice heard from any other side.
Oregon’s closed primaries allow voters to winnow dozens of candidates in the May 17 election to usually no more than two when all voters can cast a ballot.
Campaign fundraising last year was fueled by anxiety over pandemic-related redistricting delays. The geographical shape and partisan tilt of Oregon’s congressional districts weren’t final until an Oregon Supreme Court decision three days before Thanksgiving 2021.
Oregon’s campaign spending laws allow virtually unlimited contributions. But races for Congress fall under FEC rules.
Candidates must still file for office with the Oregon Secretary of State by March 8, but it’s redundant — the FEC requires a statement of candidacy filing to raise funds. Many were on file as early as January 2021.
On the flip side, candidates who file with the state for congressional races without filing with the FEC aren’t in the race.
FEC rules are copious. Individual contributions to federal candidates in the 2022 election are capped at $2,900 — no direct $1 million checks of the type signed by Nike founder Phil Knight in the 2018 governor’s race are allowed.
There are a host of additional limits for contributions to and from political parties and the extensive menu of different kinds of political action committees.
The rules have turned federal fundraising into an art form, often in the form of “bundling” seemingly separate contributions from individuals who work for the same industry, union or other groups.
Websites such as opensecrets.org parse contributions to give roadmaps to which candidate is getting a major boost from a specific group or sector.
Candidate funds for 2022 elections for Congress
More than half of the Oregon incumbents’ haul was held by U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Oregon, who is seeking another six-year term in the seat he first won in a 1996 special election. His year-end report showed slightly under $7.18 million on hand.
Wyden gets his largest donations from those listing “retired” as their occupation. As chair of the Senate Finance Committee, his second largest grouping of donations is from the securities and investment sector, with the single largest chunk — $41,500 — coming from Lazard Ltd., a New York-based investment firm.
Of the seven candidates seeking to oust Wyden who have created fundraising committees with the Federal Election Commission, only four filed year-end reports. Their total available cash: $78,529. Wyden has nearly ten times that amount.
The five U.S. House incumbents — four Democrats and one Republican — have just over $6.7 million on hand at the beginning of the year.
While some races appear now to be slam-dunks, incumbents were unsure who would come out as winners and losers in the redistricting done late last year by the Legislature and reviewed by the courts.
U.S. Rep. Suzanne Bonamici, D-Beaverton inherits a highly Democratic leaning 1st Congressional District. Same for U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer, D-Portland in the 3rd Congressional District.
U.S. Rep. Cliff Bentz, R-Ontario, saw his already heavily Republican 2nd Congressional District drawn even more red with Democratic-tilting Bend extracted from his constituency.
In the 1st, 2nd and 3rd districts, incumbents together have raised nearly $1.9 million. Opponents: zero.
U.S. Rep. Peter DeFazio, D-Springfield, started 2022 with just over $1.26 million in the bank and filed a statement of candidacy for the 4th Congressional District race with the FEC in January 2021.
With redistricting securing a stronger Democratic edge, DeFazio announced late last year that he would retire. He’s endorsed Labor Commissioner Val Hoyle of Springfield, who dropped a re-election bid to jump into the congressional race.
Republican Alek Skarlatos of Roseburg, who lost a tight race to DeFazio in 2020, is trying again. He is the best financed challenger in any congressional race, with $348,367 in the bank at the start of 2022. He’s also receiving money from two political action committees set up to share money between multiple candidates.
In the 5th Congressional District, U.S. Rep. Kurt Schrader, D-Canby, totaled $3.5 million for his re-election bid. While the district number is the same, the boundaries were radically shifted east during redistricting. He’ll need it to fight off liberal challengers in the May primary. Schrader or an insurgent Democrat will face off against a well-financed Republican in November.
The new 6th Congressional District that Oregon received for its population growth over the past decade has no incumbent. Unsurprisingly, 11 candidates have filed for the seat with the FEC, more than all the other five races, incumbents and challengers, put together.
Alongside the national political uncertainty, candidates face two other key factors: closed primaries and delayed redistricting.
Oregon has 2,947,391 registered voters as of September 2021, the most recent count by the Secretary of State. The total includes 1,026,313 Democrats and 729,676 Republicans.
Both parties hold closed primaries, wherein only registered party members can vote on May 17. The scores of candidates for offices ranging from U.S. Senator and governor to county commissioners are winnowed to mostly one-on-one races for the general election.
Cut out of the process of choosing finalists are 991,360 non-affiliated voters, more than one-third of the electorate. They can’t vote in partisan races until the general election, when the party candidates are often the only choices on the ballot.
In overwhelmingly partisan districts, the primary is the only competitive election, a fact not lost on House Minority Leader Christine Drazan, R-Canby, during the final votes in September to approve the maps.
“Democrats in Oregon have passed rigged political maps that will guarantee super-sized majorities in the Legislature and immediate control of more than 80% of Oregon’s congressional seats,” Drazan said.
Kondik, the congressional election analyst from the University of Virginia, says its Center for Politics rates Oregon’s 1st and 3rd districts as “Solid Democrat,” something just short of a political slam dunk. The 3rd district is “Solid Republican.”
The Center for Politics reports the other three districts have odds stacked in Democrats’ favor — “Leaning Democrat.”
Among other top forecasters, FiveThirtyEight.com gives Republicans a shot at the 5th district race, casting it as Democratic-leaning, but highly competitive.
Republicans say they will mount serious, well-financed efforts in the three districts.
But Kondik said current odds and political history will make it hard to get anyone other than Bentz back to Capitol Hill for the 2nd district when the new Congress is sworn in come January 2023.
“The last time a Republican won a second House seat in Oregon was way back in 1994,” Kondik said. “Republicans have had a hard time truly putting seats there into play, even in good Republican years like 2010 and 2014. So I’m curious to see if they can this time.”
Candidates running in the 2022 election for Oregon’s one U.S. Senate seat and six congressional seats on the ballot were required to file year-end campaign finance reports with the Federal Elections Commission. The reports included money raised, spent and on-hand in the candidate’s main political action committee at the end of 2021.
The list below includes only candidates who filed to create campaign finance committees prior to Jan. 1, 2022. Candidates with who raised or spent less than $5,000 are not required to file a report. Candidates who did not file reports or had zero activity are not included in this list.
The Oregon Secretary of State requires congressional candidates to file for office. The deadline for the May 17 primary is March 8. Candidates must file with the FEC to raise and spend funds.
The FEC and Oregon Secretary of State lists of candidates do not completely match because of different timelines and requirements.
U.S. Senate
Incumbent: Ron Wyden, D-Portland
Raised: $10,135,115
Spent: $6,355,756
On hand: $7,177,650
Challengers:
Darin Harbick, R-Blue River
Raised: $116,766
Spent: $62,614
On hand: $54,151
Samuel Palmer, R-John Day
Raised: $38,488
Spent: $30,920
On hand: $7,567
Jo Rae Perkins, R-Albany
Raised: $12,061
Spent: $25,054
On hand: $12,865
Rodney Beebe, R-Prineville
Raised: $7,398
Spent: $3,452
On hand: $3,946
1st Congressional District
Clatsop, Columbia, Tillamook counties. Portions of Washington and Multnomah counties.
Incumbent: Suzanne Bonamici, D-Beaverton
Raised: $444,953
Spent:$368,801
On hand: $629,497
Challengers: None reporting
2nd Congressional District
Umatilla, Baker, Morrow, Union, Wallowa, Malheur, Jefferson, Crook, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake, Grant, Harney, Gilliam, Sherman, and Wasco counties. Portions of Deschutes and Douglas counties.
Incumbent: Cliff Bentz, R-Ontario
Raised: 491,294
Spent: 230,926
On hand: 349,422
Challengers: None reporting
3rd Congressional District
Hood River County. Portions of Multnomah and Clackamas counties
Incumbent: Earl Blumenauer, D-Portland
Raised: $686,312
Spent: $530,248
On hand: $913,409
Challengers: None reporting
4th Congressional District
Lane, Benton, Coos, Curry and Lincoln counties. Portions of Douglas County.
Incumbent: Peter DeFazio, D-Springfield
(no longer seeking re-election)
Raised: $1,432,504.
Spent: $687,269
On hand: $1,262,830
Challengers:
Alek Skarlatos, R-Roseburg
Raised: $1,105,454
Spent: $880,443
On hand: $348,367
Val Hoyle, D-Springfield
Raised: $212,630
Spent: $7,704
On hand: $204,926
Andrew Kalloch, D-Eugene
Raised: $148,775
Spent: $633
On hand: $148,142
Jeremy Van Tress, R-Corvallis
Raised: $40,378
Spent or returned: $40,378
On hand: $0 (suspended campaign)
5th Congressional District
Portions of Deschutes, Clackamas, Marion, and Linn counties.
Incumbent: Kurt Schrader, D-Canby
Raised: $1,406,874
Spent: $360,213
On hand: $3,563,161
Challengers:
Lori Chavez-DeRemer, R-Happy Valley
Raised: $350,940
Spent: $124,877
On hand: $226,062
Jamie McLeod-Skinner, D-Terrebonne
Raised: $231,446
Spent: $23,756
On hand: $207,691
Jimmy Crumpacker, R-Bend
Raised: $190,400
Spent: $3,968
On hand: $186,431
6th Congressional District
Polk and Yamhill counties. Portions of Marion, Washington, and Clackamas counties
Incumbent: None (New district in 2022)
Candidates:
Steven Cody Reynolds, D-Tualatin
Raised: $2,000,016
Spent: $42,208
On hand: $1,957,807
Matthew West, D-Beaverton
Raised: $619,034
Spent: $142,582
On hand: $476,452
Nate Sandvig, R-Neskowin
Raised: $186,648.67
Spent: $85,151.21
On hand: $101,497.46
Andrea Salinas, D-Lake Oswego
Raised: $178,195
Spent: $19,616
On hand: $158,578.35
Loretta Smith, D-Portland
Raised: $176,243
Spent: $90,299
On hand: $85,943
Kathleen Harder, D-Salem
Raised: $148,584
Spent: $25,226
On hand: $123,358
Amy Ryan Courser, R-Keizer
Raised: $81,985
Spent: $85,024
On hand: $7,431
Ron Noble, R-McMinnville
Raises: $48,975
Spent: $17,521
On hand: $31,453
Angela Plowhead, R-Salem
Raised: $22,909
Spent: $12,478
On hand: $10,430
Kevin Easton, D-Salem
Raised: $5,646
Spent: $4,456
On hand: $1,189 (campaign suspended)
David Honorable Russ, R-Dundee
Raised: $5,109
Spent: $4,832
On hand: $0
Compiled by reporter Gary A. Warner of the Oregon Capital Bureau from filings with the Federal Elections Commission and the Oregon Secretary of State.